石油化工设计 ›› 2019, Vol. 36 ›› Issue (4): 28-32.doi: 10.3969 /j.issn.1005-8168.2019.04.008

• 工程应用 • 上一篇    下一篇

全项目生命周期风险管理实践

张广宁, 张莉   

  1. 中国石化工程建设有限公司,北京 100101
  • 收稿日期:2019-04-28 接受日期:2019-04-28 出版日期:2019-12-09 发布日期:2019-12-09
  • 作者简介:张广宁,女,2014年毕业于中国青年政治学院世界经济专业,经济学硕士,经济师,主要从事概算及费用控制工作。联系电话:010-84877745;E-mail: zhangguangning@sei.com.cn

Practice of Project Life Cycle Risk Management

Zhang Guangning, Zhang Li   

  1. SINOPEC Engineering Incorporation, Beijing, 100101
  • Received:2019-04-28 Accepted:2019-04-28 Online:2019-12-09 Published:2019-12-09

摘要: 以海外总承包M项目为例,探讨了全项目生命周期的风险管理的流程、各阶段的风险管理重点;结合项目的实践经验,介绍了贯穿项目始终的风险登记表、对进度风险定量分析的蒙特卡罗模拟运算。通过对M项目投标报价和项目执行阶段进行风险定性分析及定量分析,建立了比较完备的项目风险管理体系、对项目决策起到了支持作用,为未来的项目管理积累了大量的组织过程资产

关键词: 风险管理, 全项目生命周期, 量化分析

Abstract: In this paper, an overseas EPCC project titled M is taken as an example to discuss the risk management process of project life cycle and the focus of risk management at each stage. Combined with the practical experience of the project, this paper introduces the risk register which is used throughout the whole project risk management process and the Monte Carlo simulation for the quantitative analysis of schedule risk. Based on the qualitative and quantitative risk analysis of M Project during project bidding and execution, a relatively comprehensive project risk management system was established which provides support for project decision-making and can be deemed as organizational process assets accumulated for project management in the future

Key words: risk management, project life cycle, quantitative analysis